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Business · Macro & Policy

Thailand assesses trade risks as protests unsettle Europe

Thailand’s Commerce Ministry is assessing whether protests in six European countries could disrupt exports, transport and logistics. The EU accounted for US$34.69 billion in bilateral trade in the first eight months of 2026. Officials have urged exporters to consider alternative routes, market diversification and extended cargo insurance while the situation develops.

By matthew jonathan
October 25, 20262 min read
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Thailand assesses trade risks as protests unsettle Europe
Thailand assesses trade risks as protests unsettle Europe

With the European Union a major trading partner, Thailand assesses trade risks as protests spread across six European countries. The Commerce Ministry is monitoring unrest that could disrupt exports, transport services and logistics if it continues.

The EU and Thailand recorded US$34.69 billion in bilateral trade during the first eight months of 2026. Thai officials are assessing the possible effects on freight movements and demand for Thai products, while advising exporters to prepare for disruption.

Deputy Prime Minister and Commerce Minister Suphajee Suthumpun instructed trade officials to evaluate potential risks and guide businesses. The Department of International Trade Promotion and Thailand’s overseas trade promotion offices are tracking developments.

Thailand assesses trade risks across six countries

The ministry’s latest situation report identifies demonstrations in France, Italy, Portugal, Albania, Spain and Belgium. Protesters have raised concerns including living costs, wages and housing difficulties. Clashes and incidents affecting public safety have also been reported in some areas.

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Officials are paying particular attention to possible labour union action. Strikes could interfere with transport services and economic activity, though the ministry is assessing locations individually to establish which developments may directly affect Thai trade and cargo movements.

The impact is not yet certain. Suphajee said it would depend on the severity of the unrest and the places affected.

That distinction matters to exporters: disruption to air transport, road freight or local distribution could lengthen delivery times and raise operating costs, while weaker consumer purchasing power could cut demand for some Thai products. The ministry warned that prolonged or more widespread demonstrations could bring those pressures.

Exporters urged to prepare alternatives

The Commerce Ministry has advised businesses to monitor conditions in destination markets and stay in close contact with buyers and logistics providers. It has also recommended contingency measures, including diversifying markets, arranging alternative transport routes and extending cargo insurance.

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The ministry says early risk identification could give exporters time to adjust business plans before disruptions affect operations. Officials will continue gathering information through overseas offices and relevant organisations, with the stated aim of maintaining trade continuity.

The scale of the commercial exposure is reflected in trade figures released in the report. Between January and August 2026, Thailand’s total trade with the EU reached US$34.69 billion, up 17.13% year on year.

Thai exports to the bloc rose 21.89% to US$21.06 billion, while imports increased 10.45% to US$13.63 billion. Thailand recorded a trade surplus of approximately US$7.43 billion.

Those figures put pressure on authorities to watch for risks without assuming every protest will affect shipments. The Commerce Ministry is continuing to assess conditions by location as demonstrations persist.

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